Virginia Dignum receives 2026 Nordic DAIR Awards Lifetime Achievement Award in AI

On May 7, 2026, Virginia Dignum, Director of the AI Policy Lab and Professor of Responsible Artificial Intelligence at Umeå University, has been named the 2026 Nordic DAIR Awards Lifetime Achievement winner in AI!

The DAIR Awards, Data and AI Readiness Awards, recognize achievements in data, analytics and AI across the Nordic region. In 2026, the awards are integrated into the Data Innovation Summit in Stockholm, bringing recognized work in AI and data directly into one of the region’s major meeting places for practitioners, leaders and innovators.

This year’s awards focus on maturity and real-world impact in AI and data.

Against this backdrop, Virginia’s recognition highlights her long-standing contribution to responsible AI, AI ethics and AI policy. Her work has helped shape international discussions on how AI can be developed and governed in ways that place human values, accountability and societal benefit at the center.

In its award citation, DAIR writes:
“There are few individuals whose work has shaped the ethical and technical landscape of AI as profoundly as Virginia Dignum. As a world-renowned researcher and a leading voice in Responsible AI, Virginia has spent her career ensuring that as we build more powerful systems, we do so with human values at the center.”

At the AI Policy Lab, we are proud to see Virginia’s work recognized in this way. Her leadership continues to inspire researchers, policymakers, students and partners working toward responsible and trustworthy AI.

Warm congratulations, Virginia!

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About DAIR

The DAIR Awards (Data and AI Readiness Awards) recognize organizations that lead the way in using data, analytics, and AI to drive measurable business and societal impact. Focused on organization achievements, the awards highlight companies that demonstrate strategic vision, innovation, mpact and maturity in their data, analytics and AI practices. Through the recognition of real-world success stories, the DAIR Awards aim to accelerate the adoption of data-driven technologies, inspire others to follow best practices, and benchmark progress across the Nordic region’s most advanced organizations.

Workshop on Question Zero: Beyond the ‘AI First’ Hype

On March 12, 2026, the AI Policy Lab at Umeå University team conducted the workshop “Question Zero: Beyond the ‘AI First’ Hype” during the Winter School on Ethical, Legal, and Societal (ELS) aspects of AI and ASat Umeå University. 

Before you adopt AI, ask the right question first. Not “Which AI should we use?” But: “Under what conditions should an AI system be adopted, if at all? “That is Question Zero (Q0). We live in an era of AI hype. Governments are pouring huge resources into AI acceleration. Organisations are rushing to adopt. But speed is not a strategy. And technology is not destiny.

Winter School on Ethical, Legal, and Societal (ELS) aspects of AI and AS

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The Dutch childcare benefit scandal shows what happens when we skip Question Zero. An algorithm accused tens of thousands of innocent parents of fraud, destroying jobs, families and lives. Q0 was never asked.
Next up: figuring out what situated AI looks like not just as critique, but as practice, that is, research that is itself accountable to the communities it studies.

Q0 is a practical, free assessment tool developed at the AI Policy Lab at Umeå University with five categories of questions. Below we list some of the questions under each category (see the full version of the tool – below).

WHY? Motivation

  • Why do you plan to adopt an AI system? 
  • What problem(s) is your organisation trying to solve with a new AI system? 
  • What are the available alternatives, incl. human, other technical non-AI solutions, etc.?

WHO? Stakeholders and inclusion

  • Which stakeholders could benefit if the AI system is adopted and how? 
  • Which stakeholders could potentially experience any risks/harms after adopting the AI system and how? 
  • Does the AI system offer an opt out option for all impacted stakeholders?

WHAT? Type of AI system

  • What type of AI system are you planning to adopt? 
  • How does this choice match the specific problem your organisation aims to solve?

HOW? Adoption and governance

  • How do you plan to monitor/analyse the new AI system’s outputs and performance? 
  • How will you ensure the security of your organisation’s and your clients’ data?

WHERE? Infrastructure and control

  • Where does the training data originate from?
  • Where will the AI system run and data be stored? 
  • Where is the AI system’s provider based? 

During the workshop, participants worked in groups and applied the Q0 assessment tool to realistic AI adoption scenarios, including:

  • an AI system for emotional music personalisation on streaming platforms
  • automated hiring screening systems used in recruitment
  • workplace analytics tools analysing employee activity and productivity
  • AI systems for prioritising drug discovery in pharmaceutical research

Q0 is not anti-AI. It is pro-thinking. Technology is a human endeavour. We create it. We shape it. We can choose differently. 

Download Q0 Assessment Tool v3

Draft – March 2026

If you have questions or comments about the Q0 tool, feel free to reach out to us via: contact@aipolicylab.se.

Yearly Research Retreat with AI Policy Lab @Umeå University and the Responsible AI group

Dates: 17-20 March 2026
Format: Responsible AI Retreat

Just back from our yearly research retreat with AI Policy Lab @Umeå University, the Responsible AI group at Department of Computing Science and colleagues from different places.

Our theme this year was Situated AI: grounding AI research in place, community, and lived knowledge rather than a view from nowhere that mascarades as objectivity.
We talked about solarpunk visions for AI at community scale: whose resilience, whose future, built on whose knowledge? We sat with the uncomfortable truth that participation can be co-opted, that inviting more voices into a process doesn’t redistribute power, and can even become a new form of data extraction.

And we turned the lens on ourselves. The publish-or-perish pressure of academia doesn’t just shape what gets said, it shapes who gets to say it, and on what timeline. The incentive structures of academic AI research can reproduce the very dynamics we critique from the outside.

Our working conclusion, borrowed from Donna Haraway: “stay with the trouble”. Sometimes not resolving tensions prematurely, but staying in them long enough, is the most honest thing we can do.

Next up: figuring out what situated AI looks like not just as critique, but as practice, that is, research that is itself accountable to the communities it studies.

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AI Policy Lab Day 2025: Highlights and Reflections (Recording Available)

Date & Location: November 19, 2025, Umeå University, Västerbotten, Sweden

The AI Policy Lab Day 2025 was rich in insight and exchange.

Sennay Ghebreab delivered a keynote that grounded Question Zero in lived experience, reminding us that the decision to use, or not use AI is never a static checkpoint. He urged us to think in terms of Question Infinity: a continuous, reflective process in which risks and opportunities are held in tension rather than framed as opposites.

Daniel McQuillan‘s talk added a powerful systemic lens. By framing contemporary AI as a product of deeper structural failures, he challenged us to confront the material and social realities beneath technological optimism. His proposal of decomputing, a combination of degrowth, conviviality, and care, called us to imagine responses that prioritise collective well-being over speed or scale.

Our researchers’ posters reflected a striking level of maturity. Their work is rigorous, thoughtful, and already influencing wider debates on responsible AI. It was encouraging to see how confidently they engaged with participants and how deeply their projects connected to real societal needs (Rachele Carli, Petter Ericson, Jason Tucker, Tatjana Titareva, Themis-Dimitra Xanthopoulou, PhD Mattias Brännström).

Throughout the afternoon, participants brought curiosity, openness, and an eagerness to engage in discussions and informal exchanges between sessions.

The evening screening of Humans in the Loop added an emotional and narrative dimension that tied the day together. The dramatized story, rooted in the real experiences of data workers in India, wove together the daily realities of annotation labour with local culture, personal aspiration, and the power of lived experience. It captured the invisibility of this global workforce while honouring their agency and resilience. The discussion that followed made clear how crucial these perspectives are for any serious conversation on responsible AI.

A full day of insight, critical dialogue, and shared commitment.

Recordings

Slides

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Film Screening and Discussion: Humans in the loop

Close out AI Policy Lab Day with a special screening of the acclaimed independent documentary Humans in the Loop, a powerful portrait of a young data annotator navigating the rapidly shifting AI industry in India.

Film Screening

A groundbreaking 72-minute Hindi-Kurukh film follows Nehma, an Adivasi woman from Jharkhand’s Oraon tribe who trains AI systems as a data labeller. Director Aranya Sahay (FTII) was inspired by journalist Karishma Mehrotra’s exposé, revealing how over 70,000 Indians – mostly rural women – form AI’s invisible workforce.

A striking, human-centered view of AI from the ground up.

The 72-minute film will be followed by a discussion on the hidden role of data workers in AI.

Snacks and warm drinks will be available!

This film screening is a part of the AI Policy Lab Day programme.

Webinar: How can we soften the blow for the public sector when the Gen-AI bubble bursts?

About the Workshop

With significant public investment and political capital currently riding on AI, particularly generative AI, the socio-economic and political consequences of the hype bubble bursting will be profound. This would be a fork in the road for states, and state authorities who have been championing and adopting GenAI. These actors can either change course, and seek new ways to tackle societal challenges, or continue to implement sub optimal and potentially harmful applications using GenAI. Given that many states have aligned with the techno-solutionist discourses and have framed AI adoption in terms of geopolitical positioning, the latter is more likely.  

To prepare for this, and mitigate its potential harms, the workshop will focus on the organisational, technical, and social tools we can develop in advance to cushion the societal impacts of the GenAI bubble bursting. In doing so, we aim to preserve institutional legitimacy, redirect existing AI investments toward salvaging public benefit, and maintain old, and open new, avenues for AI development that aligns with the public interest. We will do so by focusing on a range of scales, from the geopolitical to the local.  

We invite participants to reflect on how a range of stakeholders, such as governments, civil society, and academia, can respond to the decline of GenAI in ways that promote resilience, accountability, and long-term public value.  

Panel discussion between

  • Virginia Dignum, Professor in Responsible AI, Director Policy Lab, Department of Computing Science, Umeå University.  
  • Gary Marcus, Scientist, author and entrepreneur, known as a leading voice in AI. Six books including The Algebraic Mind, Rebooting AI, and Taming Silicon Valley; NYU Professor Emeritus. 
  • Wendy Hall, Regius Professor of Computer Science at the University of Southampton and Director of the Web Science Institute. A pioneer in AI policy and web science, she co-chaired the UK Government’s AI Review and now serves on the UN’s High-Level Advisory Body on Artificial Intelligence
  • Gry Hasselbalch, Danish author and scholar specialising in the politics and power dynamics of technology, with a focus on data, AI ethics, and the historical forces shaping technological development.
  • Joshua Gans, Professor of Strategic Management, at the University of Toronto; economist who studies innovation, entrepreneurship, and business strategy and author of The Prediction Machine.
  • Frank Dignum, Professor in socially-aware AI, Department of Computing Science, Umeå University, Director of Umeå University’s research center on Transdisciplinary AI for the Good of All (TAIGA). 

Moderator:
Jason Tucker
Adjunct Associate Professor at the AI Policy Lab, Umeå University and Researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies.

Participation

The workshop will run for 90 minutes, combining short expert talks with an open discussion.
Participation is open to anyone interested in the societal and policy implications of AI, whether you work in government, academia, civil society, or simply want to join the conversation.

Register here to reserve your place.

Policy Gap: AI and the Determinants of Public Health

Siri Helle (Psychologist, author and speaker)


Published on 30 September 2025

There is growing interest in how artificial intelligence (AI) can be applied in public health – from individual-level interventions such as diagnosis, treatment, and patient follow-up in healthcare, to broader public health applications like health data analysis or pandemic response. Ongoing debates about regulation have already led to guidelines, including those from the WHO (2021, 2024).

An important but neglected policy area concerns the secondary effects of AI technologies on public health. Here is a clear regulatory gap. Previous technological revolutions such as electricity and the internet reshaped society and lifestyles, with downstream public health consequences – such as rising sedentary behavior and cardiovascular disease. Already today, we can identify several potential risks and opportunities linked to AI development that must be addressed if we are to safeguard population health in the future.

Key determinants of health likely to be affected include work, relationships, cognition, physical activity, and psychosocial stress. Below are some examples and potential policy responses.

Work

The labor market impacts of AI remain uncertain, but some groups – such as translators and illustrators – are already reporting falling demand due to generative AI (Society of Authors, 2024). Even with opportunities for retraining, job insecurity and layoffs are often perceived as personal crises, with heightened risks of substance use disorders, depression, cardiovascular disease, and suicide (Kim & von dem Knesebeck, 2015; Zellers et al., 2025). Policymakers must be prepared from a public health perspective, for example through preventive health communication and scalable stepped-care interventions that can be expanded as needs increase.

Relationships

Strong social relationships are among the most important protective factors for health and wellbeing (World Happiness Report, 2024). Their effect on mortality risk is comparable to that of well-known risk factors such as smoking and binge drinking (Holt-Lunstad et al., 2010).

While AI services may help alleviate loneliness or coach users toward better social skills, there is also a risk that they replace human relationships due to their convenience. Researchers such as Mahari and Pataranutaporn (2024) have called for regulation in this area. One proposal is to mandate that non-humanized chatbots be the default in vulnerable settings such as health and wellness apps, to reduce the risk of users anthropomorphizing and misusing the technology (De Freitas & Cohen, 2025).

Cognition

AI tools may enhance cognition by supporting personalized learning or compensating for bias. At the same time, emerging evidence suggests they might impair higher-order functions over time. Just as books and calculators shaped cognition through “cognitive offloading,” AI tools may lead to declines in problem-solving, planning, and decision-making – especially among younger generations growing up with them. Although research is still limited, small-scale studies point in this direction (Gerlich, 2025).

Such changes could have broad societal implications, including dependence on AI, loss of critical thinking, and increased vulnerability to manipulation. They also carry direct health consequences: cognitive functioning is closely linked to outcomes such as emotion regulation, longevity, and resilience against neurological diseases like Alzheimer’s (Lövdén et al., 2020).

Sedentary Behavior

AI-driven tools for both work and leisure risk reinforcing already high levels of sedentary time by shifting more tasks to screen-based, automated, and remote interactions. Prolonged sedentary behavior is associated with higher risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, and certain cancers, even after adjusting for leisure-time physical activity (Biswas et al., 2015).

Psychosocial Stress

Rapid social change, including AI adoption, can heighten uncertainty, worry, and job insecurity – all well-established psychosocial stressors linked to poor health outcomes, including cardiovascular disease, mental illness, and elevated mortality (Guidi et al., 2021). Strengthening digital self-efficacy can help buffer these effects (Zhao & Wu, 2025), highlighting the need to monitor and address psychosocial consequences alongside technical and clinical AI governance.

Catastrophic Risks

Alongside gradual effects, there is also a class of extreme health risks from AI systems, including catastrophic accidents or loss of human control. Though their probability is debated, the potential scale – up to and including human survival – makes them relevant to a comprehensive public health framework. As with rare but devastating hazards like nuclear accidents or novel pandemics, AI warrants systematic assessment and planning.

POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS

To ensure AI development produces the best possible outcomes for public health, it is not enough to regulate AI applications within healthcare alone. Public health must be integrated into all AI policies, alongside other overarching sustainability perspectives such as climate, equity, and human rights. Here are three proposals:

1. Integrate public health into AI regulation

Frameworks governing AI development and deployment should explicitly include public health provisions. For example, the EU AI Act (Article 5) prohibits AI systems designed to manipulate user behavior in ways that cause significant harm to self or others. The EU Digital Services Act (Article 34) requires very large online platforms to assess and mitigate systemic risks, including those affecting public health and mental wellbeing. Digital services with underage users must be safe and free from harmful content, regardless of their size.

As with food safety standards, technologies should meet minimum health requirements. Consumers have a right not to be exposed to foreseeable risks such as disrupted sleep, distorted body image, or social dysfunction, where such harms can be anticipated and prevented.

2. Build AI capacity within public health institutions

Knowledge of AI remains limited among many public health professionals and officials. Capacity must be strengthened through education, recruitment, and expert networks so that AI-related challenges can be managed at local, regional, national, and international levels.

Global advisory bodies such as the WHO could support governments in integrating public health perspectives into national AI strategies, beyond the medical applications currently emphasized.

3. Stimulate research on AI and public health

Research on the public health effects of AI remains scarce. Neither the International AI Safety Report (2025) nor the MIT AI Risk Repository currently list health risks as a category. Most existing studies focus narrowly on healthcare applications rather than upstream determinants of health.

We need systematic investigation into emerging effects as well as foresight analyses to anticipate future impacts. By mitigating risks and promoting health benefits, AI can be developed in ways that support rather than undermine public health.

This is an initial attempt to articulate the secondary public health dimensions of AI as a societal challenge. I welcome comments, suggestions, and ideas.

References

Bengio, Y., Mindermann, S., Privitera, D., et al. (2025). International AI Safety Report (Research Series No. DSIT 2025/001). UK Department for Science, Innovation & Technology. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/679a0c48a77d250007d313ee/International_AI_Safety_Report_2025_accessible_f.pdf

Biswas, A., Oh, P. I., Faulkner, G. E. J., et al. (2015). Sedentary time and its association with risk for disease incidence, mortality, and hospitalization in adults: A systematic review and meta?analysis. Annals of Internal Medicine, 162(2), 123–132. https://doi.org/10.7326/M14-1651

De Freitas, J., & Cohen, A. (2025). Unregulated emotional risks of AI wellness apps. Nature Machine Intelligence, 7(6), 813–815. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-025-01051-5

Helliwell, J. F., Layard, R., Sachs, J. D., De Neve, J.-E., Aknin, L. B., & Wang, S. (Eds.). (2024). World Happiness Report 2024. Wellbeing Research Centre, University of Oxford. (World Happiness Report)

Holt-Lunstad, J., Smith, T. B., & Layton, J. B. (2010). Social relationships and mortality risk: A meta?analytic review. PLoS Medicine, 7(7), e1000316. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1000316

Gerlich, M. (2025). AI tools in society: Impacts on cognitive offloading and the future of critical thinking. Societies, 15(1), 6. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc15010006

Guidi, J., Lucente, M., Sonino, N., & Fava, G. A. (2021). Allostatic load and its impact on health: A systematic review. Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics, 90(1), 11–27. https://doi.org/10.1159/000510696

Kim, T. J., & von dem Knesebeck, O. (2015). Is an insecure job better for health than having no job at all? A systematic review of studies investigating the health-related risks of both job insecurity and unemployment. BMC Public Health, 15, 985. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-2313-1

Lövdén, M., et al. (2020). Education and cognitive functioning across the life span. Psychological Science in the Public Interest, 21(1), 6–41. https://doi.org/10.1177/1529100620920576

Mahari, P., & Pataranutaporn, P. (2024, August 5). We need to prepare for ‘addictive intelligence’. MIT Technology Review. https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/08/05/1095600/we-need-to-prepare-for-addictive-intelligence/

Slattery, P., Saeri, A. K., Grundy, E. A. C., et al. (2024). The AI Risk Repository: A comprehensive meta?review, database, and taxonomy of risks from artificial intelligence. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.12622 (arXiv)

Society of Authors. (2024, April 11). SOA survey reveals a third of translators and quarter of illustrators losing work to AI. Society of Authors. https://www.societyofauthors.org/2024/04/11/soa-survey-reveals-a-third-of-translators-and-quarter-of-illustrators-losing-work-to-ai/

Regulation (EU) 2022/2065 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 19 October 2022 on a Single Market for Digital Services and amending Directive 2000/31/EC (Digital Services Act). (2022, October 27). Official Journal of the European Union, L 277, 1–102. http://data.europa.eu/eli/reg/2022/2065/oj

Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 June 2024 laying down harmonised rules on artificial intelligence (Artificial Intelligence Act). (2024, July 12). Official Journal of the European Union, L 2024/1689. http://data.europa.eu/eli/reg/2024/1689/oj

World Health Organization. (2021). Ethical guidelines for the application of AI in public health (applications such as screening, treatment, pandemic response strategies). https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240029200

World Health Organization. (2024, January 18). WHO releases AI ethics and governance guidance for large multi?modal models in health care and medical research. https://www.who.int/news/item/18-01-2024-who-releases-ai-ethics-and-governance-guidance-for-large-multi-modal-models

Zellers, S., Azzi, E., Latvala, A., Kaprio, J., & Maczulskij, T. (2025). Causally-informative analyses of the effect of job displacement on all-cause and specific-cause mortality from the 1990s Finnish recession until 2020: A population registry study of private sector employees. Social Science & Medicine, 370, 117867. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.117867

Zhao, X., & Wu, Y. (2025). Artificial intelligence job substitution risks, digital self?efficacy, and mental health among employees. Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 67(5), e302–e310. https://doi.org/10.1097/JOM.0000000000003335

How to cite this article:

Helle S. (2025). Policy Gap: AI and the Determinants of Public Health. AI Policy Exchange Forum (AIPEX). https://doi.org/10.63439/HNTR5780

Responsible AI Self-assessment Workshop: Start with Question Zero


Date & Location: August 27, 2025, Umeå University, Västerbotten, Sweden

On 27 August 2025, more than 100 participants joined the AI Policy Lab workshop Responsible AI Self-Assessment: Start with Question Zero at Umeå University and online. Together, we tested and debated the Responsible AI Self-Assessment Tool, designed to help organisations pause, reflect, and ask why before moving into AI adoption.

You can explore the current version of the tool here:
Responsible AI Self-Assessment Tool (PDF)

Highlights from the discussions

The workshop brought together voices from academia, industry and the public sector, sparking vibrant conversations around responsible AI. Participants reflected on questions such as:

  • Should a clear AI clarification step be required before entering Question Zero (“Why do you plan to adopt an AI system?“)
  • Should organisations complete a process pre-assessment before starting with AI?
  • What kind of work should remain human-only?
  • How can transparency and ethics be maintained when deciding between automation and augmentation?
  • Why might other non-AI solutions not solve the problem at hand?

We are deeply grateful to everyone who joined, shared perspectives and challenged assumptions. Your input is vital to shaping a practical, responsible approach to AI adoption.

Next steps

The tool is still a work in progress. Feedback from this workshop will be implemented directly into the next version of the tool. Future workshops will continue to stress-test and evolve it, ensuring it meets the needs of diverse organisations working with AI.

As Virginia Dignum, Director of the AI Policy Lab, put it:

“Responsible AI isn’t AI-first, it’s people-first. It starts by asking why, not rushing to deploy.”

Interested in taking part in upcoming sessions? Keep an eye on our website and LinkedIn page for updates.

The Ecological and Ethical Cost of Scaling AI

Irum Younis Khan (Dept. of Management Sciences, COMSATS University Islamabad (CUI))


Published on 11 August 2025

1. The Material Demands of AI

Artificial intelligence has been presented to the world as a technology driving economic and social transformation, being efficient and minimal environmental impact. Yet the reality of high energy and natural resource consumption, to keep its data centers operational, often remains invisible in mainstream narrative. This continuous energy and freshwater demand positions AI as a material actor within the planet’s ecosystem with considerable ecological costs, marking a major shift in Anthropocene, where human technologies shape planetary systems (Creutzig, et al., 2022; Wu, et al., 2022). Although the CO2 emissions from data centers have gained much attention, the water consumption remains opaque due to significant lack of independent third-party auditing and assessments (US Department of Energy, 2024). The only information source available comes from the tech giants owning these data centers. With accelerated adoptability rate of AI, expansion and scaling of Hyperscale and Edge data centers requires massive quantities of fresh, potable water – both directly and indirectly – draining the local sources, that local communities rely on, for their livelihoods. Data centers, though used for diverse digital services, are increasingly being scaled to host AI workloads. The lack of transparency and clear policies in design choices, selecting geographical locations and inequities in stakeholder inclusion emerges as a critical issue.

The increased deployment of AI-based systems results in increased demand of its infrastructure, raising urgent concerns about planetary boundaries. Water, a core utility, is a finite and unevenly distributed natural resource and already under stress in many regions (UNESCO, 2021). AI, with its environmental cost, cannot be treated an immaterial. Overlooking AI’s water consumption in sustainability assessments is no longer an option. There is a pressing need of transparency in sourcing, usage and reporting frameworks across the AI value chain.

Data centers rely heavily on fresh water with each query costing a measurable amount of water, as mentioned recently by Sam Altman, CEO of Open AI. Fresh water is used directly for ‘cooling’ and maintaining optimal operational costs (McKinsey & Company, 2024). A single hyperscale datacenter, for example, can use up to 550,000 gallons of water per day, totaling to 200 million gallons (760 million liters) annually. This is enough quantity for approx. 8,000 households (5 person) for their basic needs, based on WHO’s per capita daily water requirement (WHO, 2020).

The situation gets further complicated due to water-energy nexus. The demands of vast AI computational resources need electricity. Globally, most of electricity is produced via thermal or nuclear power plants which places additional strain on freshwater reserves. Analyzing the nexus reveals that the indirect water consumption, needed for electricity generation, can match or even exceed the amount of water needed for cooling, compounding the overall water footprint of AI. Despite this scale, companies do not share the Water Usage Effectiveness (WUE) report consistently and transparently (IEA, 2024). The claims of replenishment of water consumption such as ‘water-positive’ pledges remain vague, often lacking critical information about when, where and how freshwater is drawn and what is actual ecological benefit gained (Microsoft, 2025). Such data is vital in understanding the offset occurring outside the watershed, where extraction happens and therefore fail to provide meaningful accountability.

2. Water-Stressed Geographies and Data Center Boom

The freshwater scarcity has affected billions of people in recent years. Yet the growing mismatch between data center geographical placement and water availability reflects a negligence towards this escalating crisis. A closer look at spatial convergence of water risk locations and number of data centers they are hosting, reveals the overlooked construction of digital futures on fragile water foundations (World Resources Institute, 2023; Data Center Map, 2024). Countries like Belgium, Spain, Chile and India are hosting large number of data centers despite high or extremely-high baseline (2023) and projected (2030) water stress level, as reported by Aqueduct Water Risk Atlas. India, for instance, hosts 265 datacenters while facing extreme water stress while major tech firms like Google, plan to set additional hyperscale data centers in the country. Spain hosts 161 data centers with presence of Microsoft, Google, Meta and Amazon Web Services and Belgium has 48 data centers supporting operations of significant and long-standing hyperscale data centers such as Google.

Between depletion of water resources and economic benefits, countries show a paradox between digital infrastructure growth and water scarcity. The local ecosystems and communities increasingly compete for resource availability, without any mechanism to govern or mitigate this competition (Lehuedé, 2024; Vinuesa, et al., 2020). Meanwhile the developing countries position themselves in AI revolution by actively welcoming foreign investment brought by data centers as part of their digital transformation goals. Nations like South Africa, Egypt, Angola, and Pakistan, with ongoing water scarcity challenges, seek investments in data centers by offering land and rebates. They seemingly ignore any consideration of ecological trade-off that comes along with economic prosperity. Egypt, for example, faces extremely-high projected water-stress and when combined with its rising number of AI data centers, it may have a short-term economic uplift but also deepen long-term water scarcity.

3. AI Growth and Ecological Fragility

With scaling of global AI models and increase in localization, demand for data centers will intensify. This expansions risks triggering a rebound effect (Hertwich, 2005). The efficiency gains in AI models will lead to increase in overall resource consumption and a need for more data centers. With AI capabilities getting more distributed and embedded in daily systems, the consumption of energy and water will be accelerating too. So, despite any improvements in AI model efficiency or cooling innovations, the need of accountability and transparency in its environmental impact cannot be denied. To keep up with the demand, the data center operators pursue locations with low operational cost and greater water accessibility. Such sites are often situated in resource-constrained regions. Meanwhile developing countries are ready to avail this opportunity for digital transformation and foreign investment. However, any international standard, guiding the integration of water risk in AI infrastructure policy is still missing, leaving the discussions to fragmented national strategy or at public private discretion.

The absence of regulatory safeguards, along with its environmental impacts, may intensify conflicts between data center operators, agricultural users, diverse industrial consumers and local populations who share freshwater sources. Such conflict may lead to disrupted food systems, local protests and inequitable water allocations, and in some cases, the corporate interests overriding public welfare. Such politicization may further destabilize already vulnerable communities.

The expansion of AI calls for accountability of its environmental footprint in sustainability and governance debates requiring independent audits, inclusive planning and enforceable global standards. In Anthropocene, responsible AI must align with planetary limits and social equity or otherwise risk heavy ecological strain and systematic injustice.

References

Creutzig, F., Acemoglu, D., Bai, X., Edwards, P., Hintz, M., Kaack, L., . . . Rejeski, D. (2022). Digitalization and the Anthropocene. Annual review of environment and resources, 47(1), 479-509.

Data Center Map. (2024). Search data centers by country. Retrieved from Data Center Map: https://www.datacentermap.com/

Hertwich, E. G. (2005). Consumption and the rebound effect: An industrial ecology perspective. Journal of industrial ecology, 9(1?2), 85-98.

IEA. (2024). Data Centres and Data Transmission Networks. Retrieved from International Energy Agency (IEA): https://www.iea.org/energy-system/buildings/data-centres-and-data-transmission-networks

Lehuedé, S. (2024). An elemental ethics for artificial intelligence: water as resistance within AI’s value chain. AI & SOCIETY, 1-14.

McKinsey & Company. (2024, September 17). McKinsey.com. Retrieved from How data centers and the energy sector can sate AI’s hunger for power: https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/private-capital/our-insights/how-data-centers-and-the-energy-sector-can-sate-ais-hunger-for-power

Microsoft. (2025). Microsoft.com. Retrieved from Environmental Sustainability Report 2025: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/sustainability/report/

US Department of Energy. (2024). Recommendations on Powering Artificial Intelligence and Data Center Infrastructure. Retrieved from US Department of Energy: https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2024-08/PoweringAIandDataCenterInfrastructureRecommendationsJuly2024.pdf

Vinuesa, R., Azizpour, H., Leite, I., Balaam, M., Dignum, V., Domisch, S., . . . Fuso Nerini, F. (2020). The role of artificial intelligence in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Nature communications, 11(1), 233.

WHO. (2020). Domestic water quantity, service level and health (2nd Ed.). Retrieved from World Health Organization: https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/338044

World Resources Institute. (2023). World Resources Institute. Retrieved from Aqueduct Water Risk Atlas: https://www.wri.org/applications/aqueduct/water-risk-atlas

Wu, C., Raghavendra, R., Gupta, U., Acun, B., Ardalani, N., Maeng, K., . . . Gschwind, M. (2022). Sustainable ai: Environmental implications, challenges and opportunities. Proceedings of Machine Learning and Systems, 4, pp. 795-813.

Keywords (comma separated):

AI governance, water-energy nexus, Anthropocene, environmental sustainability, ecological costs of AI, data center impact

How to cite this article:

Khan Y. (2025). The Ecological and Ethical Cost of Scaling AI. AI Policy Exchange Forum (AIPEX). https://doi.org/10.63439/LGGN1494

Global AI Policy Research Network Launched at UN IGF 2025 (Recording available)

Workshop #288: An AI Policy Research Roadmap for Evidence-Based AI Policy
Date & Location: June 26, 2025, Oslo, Norway

At the UN’s Internet Governance Forum (IGF) 2025 in Oslo, Norway, AI Policy Lab @Umeå University (Virginia Dignum, Jason Tucker, Tatjana Titareva and colleagues) and Mila – Quebec Artificial Intelligence Institute (Isadora Hellegren Létourneau, and colleagues), in cooperation with our partners including Alex Moltzau, Eltjo Poort, Neema K. Lugangira, and many others, launched the Global AI Policy Research Network (GlobAIPol). The network invites diverse stakeholders to share practical knowledge that supports ethical, transparent, and evidence-based practices for shaping inclusive and trustworthy AI policies. The session also encouraged global stakeholders to endorse the Roadmap for AI Policy Research.

Explore GlobAIPol
Endorse the Roadmap for AI Policy Research

Three key takeaways:

  • AI regulation requires agile, evidence-based approaches – technological policymaking is not set in stone.
  • Multiple complementary frameworks serve diverse regional needs better than universal governance approach.
  • Effective AI policy is not only about technology – it’s about equity, inclusion, and broader societal impacts.


The official session summary is now available:

Read the official session summary on the IGF website (tab “Report”)
Watch the full session recording

Key insights from our session:

“AI does not happen to us! AI is designed by humans. We make the choices.” – Professor Virginia Dignum’s keynote reminded us that before asking how to implement AI, we must ask Question Zero: Is AI the best option here? We need to shift from fragmented, reactive policies to coordinated, evidence-based strategies rooted in ethics and justice.

The interventions and discussion revealed critical lessons from global perspectives:

The EU is demonstrating promising approaches with the European AI Office expanding from 97 to 140 staff by the end of 2025, supporting regulatory sandboxes and international collaboration including a €5 million generative AI initiative with Africa.

In healthcare, we must move beyond treating AI as a “magic pill” and build upon existing regulatory frameworks – just as we trust paracetamol today because of rigorous oversight developed several decades ago.

Well-designed regulation stimulates innovation rather than slows it down. Different countries need diverse legislative approaches harmonised with local values, not a one-size-fits-all global AI governance structure.

The time to act is now. AI is shaping our collective future, and how we act today will define who benefits, who is heard, and who is left behind.

Tracing labour, power, and information in Artificial Intelligence Systems

Petter Ericson (AI Policy Lab, Department of Computing Science, Umeå University)


Published on 24 June 2025

1. Introduction

It is common for technology to be used to obscure the role of humans, and artificial intelligence (AI)is a field where this is even more true than for many others. From ghost workers and data scraping to algorithmic management and automated decision making, AI technologies are used to displace, appropriate, and hide human labour in various ways. Decisions are hidden inside technical systems, externalising them from individuals and organisations who could be held meaningfully accountable, which can make agency and power flow in new and often poorly understood ways. By having automated systems imitate humans, teleworkers can be seamlessly swapped in and out as needed with users none the wiser, making the systems appear significantly more capable than they actually are.

A useful abstraction for studying and exposing the workings of these systems is to consider how and where information is flowing through them. However, tools for such analyses tend to either be highly abstracted and focused on the broader sociotechnical systems where AI components are situated, or highly technical and focused on the details of specific software and hardware architectures, or on idealized and abstract models thereof. The proposed work will attempt to bridge this gap. On the one hand, it will take a more rigorous approach grounded in information theory to qualify and quantify the information that the humans involved share both through some specific technical system and through outside channels. On the other hand, it will take a wider view on the concrete workings of those technical systems, incorporating sociotechnical metadata into analyses of digital information flows.

In sum, we aim to use tools and methods from information theory and sociotechnical system modelling, together with formal graph models and complexity theory, to investigate and explain how diverse human labour and knowledge is discretized, datafied, and expressed throughout the development and deployment of different types and architectures of AI systems.

A complementary aim of this work is to build on and further develop existing research connecting information, computation, labour, and value, and how these concepts interact, specifically in the context of AI systems, making concrete contributions to interdisciplinary studies on AI and data work. A second major aim is to yield new insights into how to quantify and qualify information flows, through a focused study of sociotechnical systems involving AI components, where information and its flows in the digital realm can be directly studied, and comparisons can be made to both models and empirical realities of the social realm surrounding them.

Ultimately, we aim to investigate the following research questions:

* RQ1 What types of information flows can be identified within different AI system architectures, and how can these be formally categorized?
* RQ2 How do human actors contribute to and engage with information flows in and around AI systems, and how can these social interactions be systematically modeled?
* RQ3 How can we develop and validate models of information flows in AI-based sociotechnical systems that integrate both technical and human components? * RQ4 How do modeled information flows reflect or reinforce particular organizational or institutional power structures?

2. Related work

Though to the best of the authors knowledge there is very little research on precisely the present topic, its interdisciplinary nature means that there are a number of intersecting areas of active research. In particular, works that cover the intersection between AI and information theory, between information theory and labour, between labour and AI, and between any of these three areas and sociotechnical modelling are all relevant.

For the first intersection, Jeon and Roy have recently investigated the connections between Bayesian machine learning and Shannon information theory, drawing an equivalence between the cumulative errors during a learning process of an optimal machine learning algorithm, and the amount of information contained in the data. From a different angle, several works such as Tseng et al. [2] and [3] have looked specifically at large language models (LLMs), drawing on compression and entropy calculations to study the use, and training, respectively of LLMs as related to natural language texts.

For the second, Dantas [4] has drawn direct connections between information and both labor and value in an explicitly Marxist framework, distinguishing between not only use and exchange value, but also semiotic value, and deriving a specific notion of information work which will be of direct use in the proposed work. Dantas also draws a distinction between random and redundant information work, which is similar to the distinction between semantic and syntactic information work in [5] which is further nuanced into an explicit spectrum in [6].

The third intersection is itself a broad area, with many different aspects of relevance. Nguyen and Mateescu [7] gives a good overview of the current landscape in relation to Generative AI specifically, while Davis [8] provides a broader review of relevant issues, making an explicit (and useful) distinction between cases where AI use impacts labour demand (through automation) and those relating more to worker power (through surveillance, algorithmic management, and the like). Further, works such as Crawford [9], Miceli and Posada [10], Gray and Suri [11], Merchant [12], Sadowski [13], and Mejias and Couldry [14] are all relevant for further developing this work. The Data Workers Inquiry (https://data-workers.org) will be another important source of alternate perspectives on AI and labour.

In terms of studying AI sociotechnical systems, once again several active areas are of interest. In particular Wu et al. [15] has developed a framework for integrating various types of models of sociotechnical systems (STS) into a single meta-model. Several modelling languages for sociotechnical systems exist, including STS-ml [16], which was developed for cybersecurity applications, and the host of standards and notations related to Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN), such as Decision Model and Notation (DMN), which is particularly relevant for models integrating AI decision support systems. However, all of these abstractions and models tend to integrate assumptions that are not always helpful for the purposes of this work. A relevant example of how existing modelling framework scan be extended to cover new areas is [17], which adds properties and functionality to STS-ml in order to check sociotechnical systems for compliance with the EU General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).

A relevant parallel effort, though not directly related to the work we propose here, is that of Gutierrez Lopez and Halford [18], who aim towards an extension of XAI principles that including the sociotechnical environment of the machine learning system.

3. Aims

The main contribution of this work will be to integrate previous work on sociotechnical systems modelling with several notions of information and labour, specifically in the context of artificial intelligence. An additional benefit of this work will be to lay a basis for a further analysis of agency and accountability: By studying the information flows and potential inputs and decisions from humans involved in an AI sociotechnical system, together with an analysis of the power relations among them, accountability and responsibility can be transparently and meaningfully assigned.

We hope to make meaningful contributions to the practical use of information theory and information flow, as well as yield actionable and concrete directions for further exploration of new AI sociotechnical architectures. As part of this, a major component will consist of qualitatively and quantitively analysing the information flows into and out of AI and ML systems, which will also give new and useful insights into the design of Hybrid AI systems in particular.

By creating concrete tools and methods for tracing information flows through both technical and social layers of AI systems, this work will attempt to offer not just theoretical insight, but practical value for those developing, regulating, or critically analyzing such systems. In a time when the societal consequences of AI are increasingly opaque yet consequential, this research will provide actionable models that can inform transparency standards, system audits, and future AI governance efforts.

4. Preliminary results

4.1. Categories of information

A foundational topic of this work includes clarifying and classifying different types of information. In particular, though at extreme small ranges reality can occasionally appear to be digital, for most practical purposes, it is continuous. In contrast, digital information, and computer and AI systems, while implemented on physical hardware, are conceptually and practically discrete. As such, while abstractions of the human and physical sections and relations of a sociotechnical system are going to inevitably be lossy, for the digital parts it is in principle possible to be both precise and concrete. This then, must be our first distinction between fundamentally different types of information: Abstracted notions and models of the real world, and concrete digital bits and bytes.

In terms of different theoretical notions of information, we further contrast the more mathematical definitions of Shannon [19] (’minimal code’) and Kolmogorov [20] (’minimal program’) with the Batesonian concept of ’a difference which makes a difference’ [21]. A fourth relevant concept is Corning’s’ control information’[22], which rather than connecting Shannon entropy/negentropy directly to the physical thermodynamic concepts with the same name, instead quantifies the amount of information contained in some signal or phenomenon by the amount of physical changes that it can effect. An example taken directly from Corning [22] is that of a car approaching a stoplight. If the driver does not notice or understand the traffic light, there is no control information being transferred by whatever light is shown. Only if the driver both sees the light, understands it, and is prepared to change the future trajectory of the car, is there any control information being sent out by the light switching to red. Broadly, we can thus consider two very different types of information flows: The almost entirely discrete and abstract digital information exchanges between and inside of software components, and the messy, socially situated, and necessarily contingent and abstracted information flows that can be modelled to exist between humans, technological artefacts, and their surrounding physical context. The main interest of this work lies precisely where these information flows intersect and interact.

4.2. Human-computer information interactions

With a minimal distinction of information flows as above, consider the interactions between a human and a computer system: the transfer of information from human to computer will necessarily abstract some concrete intention of the human into a concrete digital signal, but likewise a (digital) computer output will take on a specific meaning to the human which depends on their prior knowledge and the context in which the output is given. We can depict these shifts as in figure 1.

4.3. Analysis example

As an illustrative example of the type of analysis that we aim to make more concrete, detailed, and empirically grounded, consider the case of an article being written about a sports event. It is, at this point, plausible that such an article could be written by a large language model (LLM) given an appropriate prompt, including some sort of summary of the ’relevant facts’ of the event in question (e.g. the final tally of points, who made them when, and any injuries and other specific incidents, which are accessible from some sort of API). The situation would look something like figure 2. We can complicate this picture, however, by adding more context. The article will not reach publication without an editor, and the hidden labour that has resulted in the LLM is entirely absent in our initial figure, as is the work to set up the “sports API” and the later work to feed it with the ’relevant facts’ from observations of the event. A more realistic picture emerges, as in figure 3.

Compare this to a situation where a human writer is the author of the same article. Though the plain (abstract) facts of the event in question may be the same, the human will also have access to an infinitely larger context as part of their writing process, both through direct experience and memory, and through communications with other humans, computer systems, and physical objects such as books and recordings, nevermind the sights, sounds, and smells of the event itself if the writer was also present at the event. In this case, the situation will look more like figure 4. This too can be made more complex, particularly if we imagine the writer to make use of an LLM for writing assistance of some sort, yielding a situation as in figure 5.

5. The path forward

Though primarily based in computing science, the nature of the problems addressed by the work call for an interdisciplinary approach. Notably, by building on existing work in Science and Technology Studies, as well critical marxist literature, it is possible to better situate and analyse the information flows and AI sociotechnical systems inside existing societal power structures and socioeconomic realities. In addition to the various theories of information mentioned in Section 4.1, we will also distinguish between different types of information work, as outlined in Section 2. The distinctions between data, information, and knowledge have been explored e.g. in [23], [24], and these perspectives will also be considered.

We will primarily be building on existing frameworks for the analysis of program structure and information flow through software. Notably, the theory and practice of Quantitative Information Flow (QIF) analysis in computer security, though focused on detecting and plugging information leaks between public and private variables under static source code analysis conditions, offers a range of useful tools for modelling intentional information flows as well. From a software engineering lens, constructing program flow graphs and clearly and consistently delineating components in a software system is a well established practice, with a host of frameworks available for use. An example of an abstract framework for describing program and information flows that has been specifically developed for purposes of describing Hybrid AI systems is the boxology of Harmelen and Teije [25].

For situating a software system in an organisational context, tools from business modelling are available as well, with well-established frameworks such as BPMN, STS-ml and various derivatives having seen extensive use to analyse information flows and decision processes in business contexts. Concretely, the near parts of this work will consist a phase of conceptual and theoretical grounding, studying and comparing existing frameworks for information flow analysis, to arrive at a rigorous and flexible framework for modelling information flows in sociotechnical systems, incorporating the above distinctions and specificities, and giving specific attention to questions of agency and valuation. This work will aim at identifying connections and distinctions in how different frameworks frame decisions, and how labour is considered within them.

In the course of this development, a metadata schema for information and information flows will be developed that can describe and categorise information both in terms of its qualities, its different information contents, as well as its role at a specific point in a described sociotechnical process. Tracing the changes of these properties as attached to a particular piece of information will be an important complement to the analyses of the flows themselves, and of the various transformations imposed on and driven by the information.

During and after these developments, the framework and schema will be empirically applied to real-world cases, both existing ones from the literature, and new and comparable studies of previously understudied sociotechnical contexts. Modelling these flows will be accomplished through direct study of technical artefacts and their documentation, as well as organisational policies and descriptions of their surrounding sociotechnical contexts. These will be supplemented by interviews and surveys of involved stakeholders to elicit new and undocumented perspectives not previously represented even in internal documents.

Through comparative analysis across multiple cases (to be selected to reflect diversity in AI architecture and deployment and across different domains, e.g. public-sector automation, language models, decision-support tools) the framework will be further refined to capture how different system configurations mediate flows of information, labour, and power across different AI configurations. Ultimately, we aim for a formal, extensible modelling framework for analyzing information flows in sociotechnical systems involving AI, as well as a richly annotated library of concrete case studies. Additionally, we aim to make both conceptual and methodological contributions to the study of accountability, power, and labour in AI, as well as help drive further developments in related fields.

References

[1] H. J. Jeon, B. V. Roy, Information-Theoretic Foundations for Machine Learning, 2024. URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.12288. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2407.12288, arXiv:2407.12288 [stat].

[2] Y.-H. Tseng, P.-E. Chen, D.-C. Lian, S.-K. Hsieh, The semantic relations in LLMs: An informationtheoretic compression approach, in: T. Dong, E. Hinrichs, Z. Han, K. Liu, Y. Song, Y. Cao,C. F. Hempelmann, R. Sifa (Eds.), Proceedings of the Workshop: Bridging Neurons and Symbolsfor Natural Language Processing and Knowledge Graphs Reasoning (NeusymBridge) @ LRECCOLING-2024, ELRA and ICCL, Torino, Italia, 2024, pp. 8–21. URL: https://aclanthology.org/2024.neusymbridge-1.2/.

[3] M. Yin, C. Wu, Y. Wang, H. Wang, W. Guo, Y. Wang, Y. Liu, R. Tang, D. Lian, E. Chen, EntropyLaw: The Story Behind Data Compression and LLM Performance, 2024. URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.06645. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2407.06645, arXiv:2407.06645 [cs].

[4] M. Dantas, Information as Work and as Value, tripleC: Communication, Capitalism & Critique. Open Access Journal for a Global Sustainable Information Society 15 (2017) 816–847. URL: https://www.triple-c.at/index.php/tripleC/article/view/885. doi:10.31269/triplec.v15i2.885.

[5] J. Warner, Labor in information systems, Annual Review of Information Science and Technology39 (2005) 551–573. URL: https://asistdl.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/aris.1440390120. doi:10.1002/aris.1440390120.

[6] J. Warner, The spectrum of semantic and syntactic labour, Journal of Documentation 80 (2024)649–664. URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JD-03-2023-0057/full/html.doi:10.1108/JD-03-2023-0057.

[7] A. Nguyen, A. Mateescu, Generative AI and Labor: Power, Hype, and Value at Work, Technical Report, Data & Society Research Institute, 2024. URL: https://datasociety.net/library/generative-ai-and-labor. doi:10.69985/gksj7804.

[8] O. F. Davis, Artificial Intelligence and Worker Power (2024).

[9] K. Crawford, Atlas of AI: power, politics, and the planetary costs of artificial intelligence, Yale University Press, New Haven London, 2021.

[10] M. Miceli, J. Posada, The Data-Production Dispositif, Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction 6 (2022) 1–37. Publisher: ACM New York, NY, USA.

[11] M. L. Gray, S. Suri, Ghost work: how to stop Silicon Valley from building a new global underclass, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, Boston, 2019.

[12] B. Merchant, Blood in the machine: the origins of the rebellion against big tech, first edition ed., Little, Brown and Company, New York, 2023. OCLC: on1389775757.

[13] J. Sadowski, The mechanic and the luddite: a ruthless criticism of technology and capitalism, University of California Press, Oakland, California, 2025. doi:10.1525/9780520398085.

[14] U. A. Mejias, N. Couldry, Data grab: the new colonialism of big tech and how to fight back, WHAllen, London, 2024.

[15] P. P.-Y. Wu, C. Fookes, J. Pitchforth, K. Mengersen, A framework for model integration and holistic modelling of socio-technical systems, Decision Support Systems 71 (2015) 14–27. URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016792361500007X. doi:10.1016/j.dss.2015.01.006.

[16] E. Paja, F. Dalpiaz, P. Giorgini, Modelling and reasoning about security requirements in socio-technical systems, Data & Knowledge Engineering 98 (2015) 123–143. URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169023X1500052X. doi:10.1016/j.datak.2015.07.007.

[17] C. Negri-Ribalta, R. Noel, N. Herbaut, O. Pastor, C. Salinesi, Socio-Technical Modelling for GDPR Principles: an Extension for the STS-ml, in: 2022 IEEE 30th International Requirements Engineering Conference Workshops (REW), 2022, pp. 238–243. URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9920163/?arnumber=9920163. doi:10.1109/REW56159.2022.00052, iSSN: 2770-6834.

[18] M. Gutierrez Lopez, S. Halford, Explaining machine learning practice: findings from an engaged science and technology studies project, Information, Communication & Society 28 (2025) 616–632. URL:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1369118X.2024.2400130. doi:10.1080/1369118X.2024.2400130.

[19] C. E. Shannon, A mathematical theory of communication, The Bell System Technical Journal 27(1948) 379–423. URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/6773024. doi:10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb01338.x, conference Name: The Bell System Technical Journal.

[20] A. N. Kolmogorov, On Tables of Random Numbers, Sankhy?: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Series A (1961-2002) 25 (1963) 369–376. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/25049284, publisher: Springer.

[21] G. Bateson, Form, substance and difference, Essential readings in biosemiotics 501 (1970). Publisher: Springer.

[22] P. A. Corning, Control information theory: the ‘missing link’ in the science of cybernetics, Systems Research and Behavioral Science 24 (2007) 297–311. URL:https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/sres.808. doi:10.1002/sres.808, _eprint:https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/sres.808.

[23] L. Businska, I. Supulniece, M. Kirikova, On Data, Information, and Knowledge Representation in Business Process Models, in: R. Pooley, J. Coady, C. Schneider, H. Linger, C. Barry, M. Lang (Eds.),Information Systems Development, Springer, New York, NY, 2013, pp. 613–627. doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-4951-5_49.

[24] L. Businska, I. Supulniece, Towards Systematic Reflection of Data, Information, and Knowledge, Scientific Journal of Riga Technical University. Computer Sciences 43 (2011). URL: https://content.sciendo.com/doi/10.2478/v10143-011-0002-9. doi:10.2478/v10143-011-0002-9.

[25] F. v. Harmelen, A. t. Teije, A Boxology of Design Patterns for Hybrid Learning and Reasoning Systems, Journal of Web Engineering 18 (2019) 97–124. URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/1905.12389.doi:10.13052/jwe1540-9589.18133, arXiv:1905.12389 [cs].

Keywords (comma separated):

information theory, information flow, socio-technical system modelling

Related URL (if any):

https://people.cs.umu.se/~pettter/tracing_information_figures.pdf

How to cite this article:

Ericson P. (2025). Tracing labour, power, and information in Artificial Intelligence Systems. AI Policy Exchange Forum (AIPEX). https://doi.org/10.63439/AUHD8541

Time Out of Joint: Historical reflections on AI

Somya Joshi (Stockholm Environment Institute) & Remi Paccou (Schneider Electric)


Published on 27 May 2025

Artificial Intelligence. The very term conjures images of futuristic robots and sentient machines for some, and images of climatic collapse and existential risk to others. This AI hype represents a disjoint in time with both risks and promises. It signals a paradigm shift marked by unprecedented capabilities in information processing, autonomous reasoning, and pattern recognition, challenging traditional notions of progress and sustainability while demanding a nuanced approach to harness its potential responsibly & ethically.

The Three Technological Paradigms: From water wheels to apps:

Human technological evolution can be understood through three major paradigms. The first focused on the transformation of materials, spanning from the Stone Age through the Bronze and Iron Ages(1), where humans developed increasingly sophisticated ways to manipulate their physical environment. The second paradigm, also known as the Industrial Revolution, centered on the transformation of energy. The first industrial revolution (1770–1850), as identified by Schumpeter(2), was driven by water-powered mechanization, including mills and irrigation systems. The following long wave (1850–1900) was enabled by steam-powered technology, revolutionizing transportation with trains and transforming industrial machinery. Around 1900, the Third Kondratieff Cycle began(3), marked by the electrification of society and production from 1900 to 1940. Each revolution introduced new tools, industries, and fundamentally impacted lifestyles.

Today, we stand at the cusp of an era defined by the transformation of information. Late 20th-century digital electronics fueled ICT digitalization, leading to AI disruption. But what does this disjoint in time truly entail? History reveals three fundamental mechanisms that have been central to major technological transitions: transmission, storage, and processing. These mechanisms have propelled every major technological shift: from the wheel and rope of transport to smoke signals and the internet for transmission; from containers and reservoirs to photography and magnetic media for storage; and from fire-making to electronic computation for processing(4).

In 1990, less than 0.05% of the global population used the internet. By 2020, over 59% of humanity was connected (10). Networks now move exabytes monthly, enabling unprecedented global information flow. Storage has mirrored this progression: from physical media like books, we’ve advanced to digital systems that store humanity’s collective knowledge on infinitesimal footprints—a leap from 1% digital in the late 1980s to 99% by 2012. AI compute has completed the picture, with processing power showcasing the most striking leap forward. Today’s supercomputers operate at exaflop speeds, solving in seconds problems that would take humans decades. These leaps in transmission, storage, and processing power form the bedrock of AI, enabled by infrastructure that facilitate information transmission, storage, and processing at unprecedented levels. However, these accelerations come at a cost – both to human societies and the planet.

Continuity and Discontinuity in AI Development

Unlike past technologies that built upon human abilities, AI promises autonomous reasoning, planning, and pattern detection beyond human limits. This shift, especially with the rise of agentic AI systems, challenges traditional augmentation concepts, introducing self-referential mechanisms that redefine intelligence, creativity, and technological agency.

This transformation can be framed through the concept of autopoiesis, where technological systems evolve to create themselves, or sympoiesis, where AI is built upon human knowledge to enable novel futures(6). These theoretical lenses help us understand not only the abstract nature of AI’s development but also its tangible manifestations in the evolution of computational hardware. While computational hardware has experienced profound changes, marked by incremental efficiency gains and increased capabilities, the nature of AI’s advancements, particularly its generative capacity, introduces a new dimension. AI’s generative capacity, as it currently stands, challenges human cognitive boundaries and increases technological opacity, introducing a fundamental break from previous technological trajectories. It is not merely an extension of human capabilities but a transformative force capable of generating insights and futures untethered from human precedent.

Untethered from Planetary Health: Rebound Effects and Sustainability Challenges

Current research warns of potential “rebound effects,” where gains in efficiency paradoxically lead to higher overall consumption—an abundance without limits that could undermine sustainability goals by constraining decarbonization efforts or generating waste through unrestricted growth in AI development(7). Addressing this requires policy interventions and investments in sustainable infrastructure prioritizing accuracy, frugality, proven impact assessments for electricity demand growth—and circular economy practices for both hardware and software. To align AI development with planetary (and by virtue of that human) resilience, guardrails need to be designed within the architecture of AI technologies, at the very heart instead of as an afterthought. This would entail a shift away from a focus on efficiency and optimisation alone, towards a more integrated perspective that considers the entire value chain of AI(8). Furthermore, the environmental impact of AI, including the energy & water consumption of large language models and resource depletion from hardware production, must be addressed via caps and transparent open architecture for data sharing.

From Extraction to Global Common: Resetting AI Development

Another critical discontinuity stems from historical notions—dating back to early industrial revolutions—that “human progress” exists outside of nature, which then reduces our environment to a resource for extraction. Today’s dominant discourse around scaling larger AI models risks perpetuating this extractive mindset despite rising environmental costs like energy & water crises caused by mismatched demand on infrastructure or resource depletion.

We call for a “Global Commons” approach (drawing on the seminal work of Elinor Ostrom(9), which would mean sharing benefits across borders while challenging protectionist development paradigms through sustainable practices. This includes optimizing software, improving models, evaluating environmental impacts, and promoting circular economies. We must also in parallel build global governance, set AI standards, and boost digital literacy through international collaboration. The fundamental question remains: when not to use AI? In other words, we must dare to imagine futures with and without AI, rather than accept it as a fait accompli.

To responsibly leverage AI, we must center its design and direction towards nature aligned principles, address potential risks and harms head on, and foster global collaboration in the face of an increasingly polarizing world. Sustainable strategies require long-term vision, while short-term profits shackle us to false promises of shared progress, which history reveals to be mere mirages.

References

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Keywords:
Artificial Intelligence, Sustainability, Geopolitics, Environment, Automation, Equity

How to cite this article:

Joshi S. (2025). Time Out of Joint: Historical reflections on AI. AI Policy Exchange Forum (AIPEX). https://doi.org/10.63439/DNPK4001